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Storm News
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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Friday, 3 March 2000 |
From Subject
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001 Andrew Wall [astroman at chariot.net.au] GREEN LIGHTS IN THE SKY
002 Andrew Wall [astroman at chariot.net.au] #Weather Footy Tipping Comp
003 Robert Goler [robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au GREEN LIGHTS IN THE SKY
004 Robert Goler [robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au GREEN LIGHTS IN THE SKY...cont
005 "Leslie R. Lemon" [lrlemon at compuserve.com] Mothership Wallcloud? / Clear slot
006 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] TC Steve map animation updated #5
007 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au] Storms? Well....
008 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Ex-TC Steve map animation updated #6
009 Miguel de Salas [mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au Plains action again
010 Harald Richter [hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa OK weather
011 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] Storms last Wednesday & Jetstream & Upper Level Trough Very
012 "Les Crossan" [les.crossan at virgin.net] Plains action again
013 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] Storms Sighted in SE
014 Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au TC Update
015 Andrew Wall [astroman at chariot.net.au] #Weather Footy Tipping Comp
016 Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au TC Update
017 "John Woodbridge" [jrw at pixelcom.net] Storms Sighted in SE QLD????????????????????????
018 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] TC Steve map animation updated #10
019 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au] Australian chase footage wanted
020 "Jason & Keith" [kevans at kisser.net.au] TC Norman a Cat 5!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
021 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] TC Steve map animation updated #10
022 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au] Strange BoM forecast for Sydney
023 Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au] Another Cat 5 of WA, Color Sat pic's
024 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] Another Cat 5 of WA, Color Sat pic's
025 Ira Fehlberg [jra at upnaway.com] #Weather Footy Tipping Comp
026 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] TC NORMAN JTWC - 4 TC's between the NT and Africa
027 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Another Cat 5 of WA, Color Sat pic's
028 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] TC STEVE JTWC
029 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] Strange BoM forecast for Sydney-Weekend prospects
030 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au] #Weather Footy Tipping Comp
031 Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au] Fitzroy River Flood, Possibel New Record.
032 Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au] Strange BoM forecast for Sydney-Weekend prospects
033 Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au] Ex TC Steve Update #11
034 Desley Absolon [mystyle at bigpond.com.au] News from 'Cyclone City'!!
035 Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au] Strange BoM.. Look at cloud whirl
036 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] GREEN LIGHTS IN THE SKY
037 "Patrick Tobin" [patricktobin at ozemail.com.au] News from 'Cyclone City'!!
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001
X-Sender: astroman at mail.chariot.net.au
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Date: Thu, 02 Mar 2000 22:49:56 +1030
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Andrew Wall [astroman at chariot.net.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: GREEN LIGHTS IN THE SKY
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
If it is travelling at a consistant speed like a meteorite then I would
say it would most likely to be Space Junk or a meteorite,
Meteorites are mostly orange, yellow, white in appearence, but some
have also been a bluey/green colour. In 1998 during the leonid meteor
shower, I observed around 200 or so blue/green/orang/yellow fireballs and
some of them didn't have tails either, well no noticable ones
anyway. These blue/green ones are usually associated with comet
dust tails and occur during meteor showers. The only shower around at
this time is Rho Leonids, but these would not be visable at the times you
have given. It is also a possibility that these are stray meteors,
finally coming through the atmosphere after being caught in earths
gravitational field, these strays are usually caught when the earth
passes through a cometry path and some of the particles are thrown into
an orbit around earth, finally coming to grief in our atmosphere.
Hope this gives you an clue on what you may be seeing.
regards
At 10:22 PM 2/03/00 +1100, you wrote:
Hello
Everyone,
This may not be strictly on the subject of
weather but nevertheless was anyone else outside watching the sky between
8.55pm and 9.22pm tonight.
Twice we saw Emerald green lights in the
sky travelling from North to South. We have seen these things
before and really would like to know what they are.
Can anyone tell us if they are space junk or
worse still radioactive matter coming back into our air space. No
we weren't out drinking before hand and the sky is clear. Also they
definitely aren't aircraft as they plunge across the sky in the same
manner as a meteorite would. Travelling quite quickly and leaving
no tail.
The Mayos. Mona
Vale NSW
Andrew Wall
South Australia.
State representative for S.A. and N.T. Division of the Australian
Severe Weather Association Inc.
Webmaster of The official South Australian Severe Weather watch
homepage.
South Australian Severe Weather page -
http://sastorms.virtualave.net
ASWA Inc. -
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
002
X-Sender: astroman at mail.chariot.net.au
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Date: Thu, 02 Mar 2000 23:47:33 +1030
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Andrew Wall [astroman at chariot.net.au]
Subject: aus-wx: #Weather Footy Tipping Comp
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi Everyone
Jacob Aufdemkampe and I (Kathryn Jolly) have created a #Weather Footy
Tipping Comp.
For anyone that may be interested in joining there is a link to the rules
on Jacobs #Weather homepage in the Special events
section http://members.iinet.net.au/~jacob/austnet/events.html but you
must register first. The link takes you to a page that will have a link
going to the registration page. Registration only requires your name, a
user name, your email address, and a password.
Or you can email me personally at astrolady99 at netscape.net with your email
address so I can automatically send you a set of rules.
This competition is a friendly competition only. No prizes will be given
If there is any other questions or queries email me and I will answer them
for you.
Kind Regards and Happy Tipping
Kathryn Jolly & Jacob Aufdemkampe
astrolady99 at netscape.net
jacob at iinet.net.au
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
003
X-Authentication-Warning: neumann.maths.monash.edu.au: robert owned process doing -bs
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 01:20:35 +1100 (EST)
From: Robert Goler [robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au]
X-Sender: robert at neumann.maths.monash.edu.au
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: GREEN LIGHTS IN THE SKY
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
I would be interested to know how long these objects were visible for.
If these persisted for 30 secs or greater, then most likely it was space
debris. Anything shorter than this, then it may have been a meteor.
If it was a meteor, then it would, as Andrew pointed out, be a random
or sporadic meteor due to dust particles colliding flush on with the Earth
(ie not really captured into orbit).
Also, how much of the sky did it traverse? If it was the entire sky from
N-S then again, space debris would more likely be the culprit.
How bright were these objects? Were they comparable to the brightest
stars? Although this won't suggest anything as to its true nature, I would
be interested to know.
Did any pieces break off?
One last thing, was any sound heard after its passage? Often meteors
entering the atmosphere generate a sonic boom which may be audible up to a
few minutes after the event.
I checked if any bright satellites were visible over Mona Vale, but the
brightest one in which colour would have be discernable went from south to
north.
I must admit though, I am a bit concerned about the regularity with which
you have seen these objects. Can you recall the other dates/months when
these were seen? If these do turn out to be meteors, then gees, I would
love to head out your way for some observing. *8^D
And as for you Andrew, I would be interested to know where you saw those
200 meteors from! From my suburbian backyard in Adelaide in '98, I saw 28
Leonids over the course of 2 nights, of which I was very impressed
(usually lucky to clock up 1-2 a night in normal years). The night before
the predicted peak, they were soooo bright! But I think I'm getting off
track here.
Probably any replies to me should be done off the list for the sake of the
others.
Cheers, Rob
On Thu, 2 Mar 2000, Andrew Wall wrote:
> If it is travelling at a consistant speed like a meteorite then I would say
> it would most likely to be Space Junk or a meteorite, Meteorites are
> mostly orange, yellow, white in appearence, but some have also been a
> bluey/green colour. In 1998 during the leonid meteor shower, I observed
> around 200 or so blue/green/orang/yellow fireballs and some of them didn't
> have tails either, well no noticable ones anyway. These blue/green ones
> are usually associated with comet dust tails and occur during meteor
> showers. The only shower around at this time is Rho Leonids, but these
> would not be visable at the times you have given. It is also a possibility
> that these are stray meteors, finally coming through the atmosphere after
> being caught in earths gravitational field, these strays are usually caught
> when the earth passes through a cometry path and some of the particles are
> thrown into an orbit around earth, finally coming to grief in our atmosphere.
>
> Hope this gives you an clue on what you may be seeing.
>
> regards
>
>
> At 10:22 PM 2/03/00 +1100, you wrote:
> >Hello Everyone,
> >
> >This may not be strictly on the subject of weather but nevertheless was
> >anyone else outside watching the sky between 8.55pm and 9.22pm tonight.
> >
> >Twice we saw Emerald green lights in the sky travelling from North to
> >South. We have seen these things before and really would like to know
> >what they are.
> >
> >Can anyone tell us if they are space junk or worse still radioactive
> >matter coming back into our air space. No we weren't out drinking before
> >hand and the sky is clear. Also they definitely aren't aircraft as they
> >plunge across the sky in the same manner as a meteorite would. Travelling
> >quite quickly and leaving no tail.
> >
> >The Mayos. Mona Vale NSW
>
> Andrew Wall
>
--
Robert A. Goler
E-mail robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au
http://www.maths.monash.edu.au/~robert/
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Monash University
Clayton, Vic 3800
Australia
--
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
004
X-Authentication-Warning: neumann.maths.monash.edu.au: robert owned process doing -bs
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 01:45:44 +1100 (EST)
From: Robert Goler [robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au]
X-Sender: robert at neumann.maths.monash.edu.au
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: GREEN LIGHTS IN THE SKY...cont
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
One last thing I forgot to mention was about its colour. Emerald green is
not unusual.
However, I hope your reference to it as radioactive matter wasn't because
of its colour. Despite what "The Simpsons" may tell us, radioactive matter
does not glow green, or any other colour for that matter (except for
"going critical" but that's another story).
Proof: Just check your smoke detector!
It will look like any other normal object.
Cheers
--
Robert A. Goler
E-mail robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au
http://www.maths.monash.edu.au/~robert/
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Monash University
Clayton, Vic 3800
Australia
--
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
005
Date: Thu, 2 Mar 2000 10:13:01 -0500
From: "Leslie R. Lemon" [lrlemon at compuserve.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Mothership Wallcloud? / Clear slot
To: "INTERNET:aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
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Michael,
This is a clear slot, no two ways about it. It is a down draft. However,
is there any rotation in the visible cloud base? Is this the rear flank of
the storm?
> I also like Andrew Maben's second photo at
>
> http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/andrew/71199b.htm
>
> would it be too much to suggest that this is a clear slot created from
the
> RFD cool air being drawn into the circulation.
Les
************************
Leslie R. Lemon
Radar, Severe Storms, & Research Meteorologist
Tel. 816-373-3533, 816-213-3237
E-Mail: lrlemon at compuserve.com
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006
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 01:20:08 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation updated #5
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
TC Steve map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveTimorSeaAnim.htm updated to BoM #5.
Regards,
Carl.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
carls at ace-net.com.au
Cyclone Tracking Maps Website:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm
Current Cyclone Information Page:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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007
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 01:17:36 +1100
From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win95; I)
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Storms? Well....
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Hi Everyone,
I actually woulnd't say full blown storms - but quite close to it at one
stage.. i took these pictures early this morning (Thursday) - all before
8am..
If you stare at this one long enough you can convice yourself it's the
leading edge of a weak squall line - i wish..
http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/ben/yaddayadda/Image34.jpg
The line/cluster of Cb's broke up somewhat.. and this cell on the
northern edge stood out somewhat..
http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/ben/yaddayadda/Image44.jpg
(notice the lowering on the right side of the rain curtain)
And a little while later
http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/ben/yaddayadda/Image53.jpg
(you can see that lowering again)
This would have to be my favourite picture from the day though - this is
when i first go to my lookout (6:30am) - the colours were quite nice,
and i liked the smooth shapes - also notice the inflow dooby in the
right side of the picture
http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/ben/yaddayadda/span.jpg
SDS levels are still very high! But i have to say they are slowly
decreasing.. hopefully there will be more Cb's around this weekend..
--
Ben Quinn
The Brisbane Storm Chasers Homepage (BSCH)
http://www.bsch.simplenet.com
The Australian Weather Pages Webring
http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/webring/index.htm
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
008
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 03:22:07 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Ex-TC Steve map animation updated #6
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Hi All.
Ex-TC Steve map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveTimorSeaAnim.htm updated to BoM #6.
Regards,
Carl.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
carls at ace-net.com.au
Cyclone Tracking Maps Website:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm
Current Cyclone Information Page:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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009
X-Sender: mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au
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Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 08:59:41 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Miguel de Salas [mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Plains action again
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Looks like they get all the action over there!
I guess with a couple of cyclones (one of which seems to be
'the-cyclone-that-never-dies'), we can't complain so much any more.
Anyhow, check out
http://www.intellicast.com/LocalWeather/World/UnitedStates/Central/Oklahoma/
OklahomaCity/RadarSummary/
There are tornado watches and a couple of supercells look pretty goot on
satellite IR imagery as well.
Miguel de Salas
School of Plant Science,
University of Tasmania,
PO Box 252-55, Sandy Bay, Hobart
Tasmania, Australia, 7001.
mailto://mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au
My Moths Page:
http://members.xoom.com/migueldes/moths/moths.html
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
010
From: Harald Richter [hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov]
Subject: aus-wx: OK weather
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Australian Severe Weather Association)
Date: Thu, 2 Mar 2000 17:00:20 -0600 (CST)
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Hi Miguel (and other radar freaks),
It is less than 10 C on the ground in Central OK
with dying *elevated* convection in the sky. The actual
warm front never dared to leave Texas, hence the better
surface-based convection is just N of Dallas
http://www.intellicast.com/LocalWeather/World/UnitedStates/SouthCentral/Texas/Dallas/BaseReflectivity/
No current tornado warnings are in effect ATM.
>From the icebox, Harald
--
---------------------------------------------
Harald Richter
National Severe Storms Laboratory
1313 Halley Circle
Norman, OK 73069
ph.: (405) 366-0430
fax: (405) 579-0808
email: hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov
---------------------------------------------
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011
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 09:18:20 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win98; I)
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To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Storms last Wednesday & Jetstream & Upper Level Trough Very far north!!!
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi all,
Over the past two days, you have been able to notice the passage of an
upper level trough & jetstream over the sat pics - look how far north it
has progressed!!! Up to 15 degrees south - incredible! On the day we
received some cold air Cb, the atmosphere had cooled considerably. As
John Woodbridge pointed out, the Cb's were glaciating quite low -
temperature at 500mb was -11.5C!!! Normal temperatures for Brisbane
range between -4C and -7C. Anything in the negative double figures for
Jan/Feb is very cold - although mid Jan took the cake with -15/-16C at
500mb! However, during Wednesday 400mb and above still exhibited a
summer atmosphere, with 300mb temperatures of only -32/-33C. Twelve
hours later, this went down to -38C at 500mb, more in line with the
colder 500mb temperatures.
Certainly quite impressive and interesting given February normally sees
days on end of lovely, oppressive and humid heat - only broken for TC's
drifting southwards giving us SE'ly gales and showers :)
The storms that formed on Wednesday appeared to form on a line, assisted
with a SE'ly surge. I initially thought the ridge was strengthening -
but the pressure was falling! The only other explanation I could come
up with was a weak offshore trough was developing in response to the
colder air and it sent a SE'ly surge that helped lift the air.
Unfortunately, with the ~400mb inversion, the sky soon filled with Ac/As
(or MLC - mid level crap), and it killed all the heating :-( Had that
not actually occurred, there may have been some reasonable storms, but
that's one of the problems with storms in SE winds - too much junk in
the sky!
--
Anthony Cornelius
Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association
(ASWA)
(07) 3390 4812
14 Kinsella St
Belmont, Brisbane
QLD, 4153
Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm
reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
012
From: "Les Crossan" [les.crossan at virgin.net]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Plains action again
Date: Thu, 2 Mar 2000 23:31:52 -0000
Organization: Cosmic EuroCon - note all times are always GMT
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211
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----- Original Message -----
From: Miguel de Salas [mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Sent: Thursday, March 02, 2000 9:59 PM
Subject: aus-wx: Plains action again
> Looks like they get all the action over there!
>
> I guess with a couple of cyclones (one of which seems to be
> 'the-cyclone-that-never-dies'
This TC business had my brain well scrambled by this morning, did I read
that there were 6 TC warnings on one post????
***
2245z - two mesos on the squall according to Intellicast radar. I know Les
Lemon (ASWA Int) is on it but is Harald out there????
Les (UK)
------------------------------------------------------
Les Crossan
Wallsend, Tyne & Wear, UK 54-59N 01-30W
UK Storm Chaser / Severe Weather Enthusiast
Melbourne Storm Chasers (MSC) - Victoria, AUS
http://www.rubix.net.au/~cadence/
Australian Severe Weather Association (ASWA) - AUS
http://www.severeweather.asn.au/
Tornado and Storm Research Organisation (TORRO) - UK
Thunderstorm Census Organisation (TCO) - UK
http://www.torro.org.uk/
Email: les.NOSPAMcrossan at virgin.net (remove NOSPAM)
ICQ: 17296776
------------------------------------------------------
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
013
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 09:22:50 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win98; I)
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Storms Sighted in SE
QLD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Jane ONeill wrote:
>
> SHRIEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
>
> Ben & Anthony,
>
> You play something like this down????? We Victorians (and I suspect half of
> the NSW contingent) would kill for something like this- you call this
> soft?????
I certainly wasn't playing something like this down! I was rather
excited (you didn't sense that when I was yelling out there was pink on
radar??? ) In fact, believe it or not - it was this summer that made
me sit back and think how lucky we normally are in SE QLD. Yes we are
spoilt - I'll admit it, and it's so true that you don't realise how good
you have it until it's taken away from you. Last year we were
complaining about our below average t'storm season for 98-99 - well,
right now, I'd KILL for that back, because compared to this it was
PHENOMENAL!!!
Maybe it's best that I at least didn't experience a good t'storm season
this season, as it really did teach me a lot about life, and weather.
--
Anthony Cornelius
Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association
(ASWA)
(07) 3390 4812
14 Kinsella St
Belmont, Brisbane
QLD, 4153
Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm
reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
014
From: Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au
To: " - *aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Update
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 09:39:05 +0930
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id TAA25961
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Hi all.
I will not be surprised if the warning for Darwin is dropped by the next update
at 11am - the skies here have lightened somewhat and the wind is now only
"breezy" - rather then like last night when 100 - 120km/h winds associated with
squalls.
Somewhat disappointing though - was looking forward to having a bit of
excitement. Ohh well - next time! Now if it isnt coming this way - I hope it
pisses off quick smart so we can get some decent storms going again!
Paul in Darwin.
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
015
X-Sender: astroman at mail.chariot.net.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.2.0.58
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 10:57:25 +1030
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Andrew Wall [astroman at chariot.net.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: #Weather Footy Tipping Comp
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
One slight thing I forgot when I wrote this email in the early hours of
this morning was the #Weather Footy tips competition Number and Password,
After you have registered your name, click the tipping tab up the top and
it will ask for a Comp Number and Comp Password. Our Comp number is -
3664 and the Password is - supercell
sorry about missing that out last night
Regards
Kathryn Jolly and Jacob Aufdemkampe
At 11:47 PM 2/03/00 +1030, you wrote:
>Hi Everyone
>
>Jacob Aufdemkampe and I (Kathryn Jolly) have created a #Weather Footy
>Tipping Comp.
>
>For anyone that may be interested in joining there is a link to the rules
>on Jacobs #Weather homepage in the Special events
>section http://members.iinet.net.au/~jacob/austnet/events.html but you
>must register first. The link takes you to a page that will have a link
>going to the registration page. Registration only requires your name, a
>user name, your email address, and a password.
>
>Or you can email me personally at astrolady99 at netscape.net with your
>email address so I can automatically send you a set of rules.
>
>This competition is a friendly competition only. No prizes will be given
>
>If there is any other questions or queries email me and I will answer them
>for you.
>
>
>Kind Regards and Happy Tipping
>
>Kathryn Jolly & Jacob Aufdemkampe
>astrolady99 at netscape.net
>jacob at iinet.net.au
>
>
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>message.
>-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
016
From: Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au
To: " - *aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Update
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 10:57:13 +0930
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id UAA06663
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I was right - for once I wish I wasnt.
Ps great squall line just ripped through with some heavy rain and assoc. winds.
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 9
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 am CST [9:30 am WST] Friday 3 March 2000
A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between DALY
MOUTH in the Northern Territory and COCKATOO ISLAND in Western Australia.
The CYCLONE WARNING between DARWIN and DALY MOUTH has been cancelled.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends west to BROOME in Western Australia.
At 11.00 am CST [9.30 am WST] a tropical low [ex-Steve] was re-located over the
southern Joseph Bonaparte Gulf, 80 kilometres south southwest of Port Keats and
145 kilometres east northeast of Wyndham, moving south southwest at 20
kilometres per hour. The centre of the low is now expected to remain close to
the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf coast during the morning, and then track westwards
across the Kimberley tonight.
The low is now considered unlikely to develop into a tropical cyclone today but
there is a chance the low may redevelop into a cyclone tomorrow when it moves
off the west Kimberley coast. GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour may
develop along the coast between DALY MOUTH and COCKATOO ISLAND later today or
early tomorrow.
STRONG WINDS with squalls to 90 kilometres per hour are currently being
experienced over the southwestern Top End and north Kimberley coast.
HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause widespread flooding of low-lying areas in the
Top End, Victoria River and Kimberley region today and tonight.
Abnormally high tides could cause minor flooding at the coast between Wyndham
and Kalumburu later today and tomorrow.
Tides will be higher than normal between Wyndham and Cape Don.
Details of the TROPICAL LOW [ex-Steve] at 11.00 am CST [9.30 am WST]:
. Centre re-located near....... 14.9 degrees South 129.3 degrees East
. Location accuracy......... within 50 kilometres
. Recent movement........... towards the west southwest at 20 km/h
. Wind gusts along the coast.... 90 kilometres per hour
. Central pressure.......... 995 hectoPascals
REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is current for coastal communites between DALY
MOUTH and COCKATOO ISLAND. The CYCLONE WARNING between DARWIN and DALY MOUTH has
been cancelled. A CYCLONE WATCH extends west to BROOME in Western Australia.
The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 2 pm CST [12.30 pm WST].
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
017
From: "John Woodbridge" [jrw at pixelcom.net]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: Storms Sighted in SE QLD????????????????????????
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 11:44:36 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook CWS, Build 9.0.2416 (9.0.2910.0)
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Might not be all over for this year just yet.... Seem to recall Ipswich got
a beauty late in the season last year.
>snip
I certainly wasn't playing something like this down! I was rather
excited (you didn't sense that when I was yelling out there was pink on
radar??? ) In fact, believe it or not - it was this summer that made
me sit back and think how lucky we normally are in SE QLD. Yes we are
spoilt - I'll admit it, and it's so true that you don't realise how good
you have it until it's taken away from you. Last year we were
complaining about our below average t'storm season for 98-99 - well,
right now, I'd KILL for that back, because compared to this it was
PHENOMENAL!!!
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
018
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 12:49:10 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation updated #10
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
TC Steve map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveTimorSeaAnim.htm updated to BoM #10.
JTWC has had it at TC intensity for the last 2 warnings.
Regards,
Carl.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
carls at ace-net.com.au
Cyclone Tracking Maps Website:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm
Current Cyclone Information Page:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
019
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 13:15:53 +1100
From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Australian chase footage wanted
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi everyone,
This was posted to the Wx-Chase list last night/today..
********
Any Australian chasers who would be interested in featuring in the next
Pioneer tornado show, please get in touch with me. Thanks.
--
Martin Williams
Researcher
Pioneer Productions
32 Galena Road
London W6 0LT
UK
Email: martin at pionprod.demon.co.uk
Tel: +44 (0)208 748 0888 x225
Fax: +44 (0)208 748 7888
--
Ben Quinn
The Brisbane Storm Chasers Homepage (BSCH)
http://www.bsch.simplenet.com
The Australian Weather Pages Webring
http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/webring/index.htm
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
020
From: "Jason & Keith" [kevans at kisser.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Norman a Cat 5!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 12:40:42 +0800
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300
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Second Cat 5 of the season :) how many more can we
get hehehe
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY
THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH
AT 0418UTC 3 MARCH 2000
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN
AREA
SITUATION
Severe Tropical Cyclone Norman with central pressure
920hPa located at 0400UTC
Within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude
nineteen decimal seven south [19.7S]
Longitude one hundred and seven decimal
zero east [107.0E]
moving west at 14 knots.
AREA
AFFECTED
Cyclone causing rough to very rough seas, heavy swell and 30/45 knot
winds
within 100 nautical miles of centre, increasing to 110 knots within 30
nautical
miles of centre with phenomenal seas and heavy swell.
FORECAST
At 1600UTC 03 March. 20.1 south 104.0 east
920hPa
At 0400UTC 04 March. 20.7 south 101.0 east
920hPa
Next warning issued at 1100 UTC 03 March 2000
WEATHER
PERTH
Jason
Karratha WA
Watching Steve VERY closely :D
021
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 15:45:05 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation updated #10
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
TC Steve map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveTimorSeaAnim.htm updated to BoM #10.
The last one I sent out was actually #9! Oh well. Need more sleep!
Regards,
Carl.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
carls at ace-net.com.au
Cyclone Tracking Maps Website:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm
Current Cyclone Information Page:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
022
X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified)
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Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 17:06:17 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Strange BoM forecast for Sydney
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
I cant recall ever seeing a forecast like the one for sunday (For Sydney)..
sounds too good to be true, reminds me of the forecasts they issue in the
states "slight/moderate/high risk days", but i will beleive it when i see
it, so far it looks like most of the action could be in central NSW, and SE
NSW, But different models are showing different things...
Matt Smith
Headline : Fine. Milder tomorrow.
Sunday : Moderate thunderstorm risk. NE winds.
City: Min: 20 Max: 26
Monday : Showers developing. S/SE winds
City: Min: 17 Max: 25
Tuesday : Few showers. S/SE winds
City: Min: 17 Max: 25
Trend for Wednesday Thursday and Friday :
Fine, NE winds. Few showers Friday with southerly change
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023
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 15:11:08 +0800
From: Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Another Cat 5 of WA, Color Sat pic's
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Well we have yet another Cat 5 Cyclone of the Wa coast hmm only the 6 th
one in the last 15 months . And at last report there was at least 5
Tropical Cyclones going at present between the WA Coast and the East
Coast of Africa. Were former TC Leon made it all the way from Wa to the
African East coast.
Any thoughts on if " TC Norman " will do the same if it continues on
it's westerly track ??.
And also good to see that the ppl at OSEI and the NOAA have got the
color Sat Pic's up for us again for TC Norman.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/IndOcean/TRCnorman061_N4.jpg
or you can got to the main menu at
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/Atlantic/
MJ.
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
024
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 18:30:19 +1100
From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Another Cat 5 of WA, Color Sat pic's
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
For the sake of the poor people of Mozambique, let's hope not....
Mark Dwyer wrote:
>
> Well we have yet another Cat 5 Cyclone of the Wa coast hmm only the 6 th
> one in the last 15 months . And at last report there was at least 5
> Tropical Cyclones going at present between the WA Coast and the East
> Coast of Africa. Were former TC Leon made it all the way from Wa to the
> African East coast.
> Any thoughts on if " TC Norman " will do the same if it continues on
> it's westerly track ??.
> And also good to see that the ppl at OSEI and the NOAA have got the
> color Sat Pic's up for us again for TC Norman.
>
> http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/IndOcean/TRCnorman061_N4.jpg
> or you can got to the main menu at
> http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/Atlantic/
>
> MJ.
>
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> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
025
X-Sender: jra at upnaway.com
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.6 (32)
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 15:36:15 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Ira Fehlberg [jra at upnaway.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: #Weather Footy Tipping Comp
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Ummm silly question but i dont see where u type in the comp number or
password there?
Ira Fehlberg
At 10:57 3/03/00 +1030, you wrote:
>
>
>
>One slight thing I forgot when I wrote this email in the early hours of
>this morning was the #Weather Footy tips competition Number and Password,
>
>After you have registered your name, click the tipping tab up the top and
>it will ask for a Comp Number and Comp Password. Our Comp number is -
>3664 and the Password is - supercell
>
>sorry about missing that out last night
>
>Regards
>Kathryn Jolly and Jacob Aufdemkampe
>
>
>
>
>
>
>At 11:47 PM 2/03/00 +1030, you wrote:
>>Hi Everyone
>>
>>Jacob Aufdemkampe and I (Kathryn Jolly) have created a #Weather Footy
>>Tipping Comp.
>>
>>For anyone that may be interested in joining there is a link to the rules
>>on Jacobs #Weather homepage in the Special events
>>section http://members.iinet.net.au/~jacob/austnet/events.html but you
>>must register first. The link takes you to a page that will have a link
>>going to the registration page. Registration only requires your name, a
>>user name, your email address, and a password.
>>
>>Or you can email me personally at astrolady99 at netscape.net with your
>>email address so I can automatically send you a set of rules.
>>
>>This competition is a friendly competition only. No prizes will be given
>>
>>If there is any other questions or queries email me and I will answer them
>>for you.
>>
>>
>>Kind Regards and Happy Tipping
>>
>>Kathryn Jolly & Jacob Aufdemkampe
>>astrolady99 at netscape.net
>>jacob at iinet.net.au
>>
>>
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>>with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
>>message.
>>-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
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> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
>
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026
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 17:49:47 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC NORMAN JTWC - 4 TC's between the NT and Africa
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
Here is the latest from JTWC.
Regards,
Carl.
>360
>WTXS32 PGTW 030900
>1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NORMAN) WARNING NR 005
> 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
> ---
> WARNING POSITION:
> 030600Z9 --- NEAR 19.7S7 106.3E0
> MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
> POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
> POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
> PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
> RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
> RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 075 NM ELSEWHERE
> RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 140 NM ELSEWHERE
> REPEAT POSIT: 19.7S7 106.3E0
> ---
> FORECASTS:
> 12 HRS, VALID AT:
> 031800Z2 --- 20.0S2 103.1E5
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
> RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
> RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 075 NM ELSEWHERE
> RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 140 NM ELSEWHERE
> VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 17 KTS
> ---
> 24 HRS, VALID AT:
> 040600Z0 --- 20.3S5 99.4E2
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
> RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
> RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 065 NM ELSEWHERE
> RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 135 NM ELSEWHERE
> VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 17 KTS
> ---
> 36 HRS, VALID AT:
> 041800Z3 --- 20.6S8 95.8E2
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
> RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 055 NM ELSEWHERE
> RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 130 NM ELSEWHERE
> VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 17 KTS
> ---
> EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
> 48 HRS, VALID AT:
> 050600Z1 --- 21.2S5 92.2E3
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
> RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 045 NM ELSEWHERE
> RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 115 NM ELSEWHERE
> ---
>REMARKS:
>030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 19.8S8 105.5E1.
>TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (NORMAN) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM
>NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14
>KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
>030530Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS
>BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 130 KNOTS.
>ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TC 16S (NORMAN) HAS INTENSIFIED
>RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND NOW HAS A 25 NM EYE. ANIMATED
>WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S
>(NORMAN) WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD THROUGH THE 36
>HOUR FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL
>SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. AFTER THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AN
>APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CREATE A WEAKNESS IN
>THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTH, ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO TAKE A MORE
>WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS
>INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN DUE
>TO SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
>WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG
>031955Z3) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040755Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P
>(STEVE) WARNINGS (WTXS35 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO
>TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (GLORIA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
>UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR
>TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
>
>+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
>To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV at PO.UIUC.EDU with
>"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the
>WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris at siu.edu or see
>http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on
>tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
>http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
027
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 18:01:56 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Another Cat 5 of WA, Color Sat pic's
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
Unfortunately, the poor people of Mozambique have TCGloria heading their
way now.
It is currently crossing Madagascar, and is expected to intensify as it
heads into the Mozambique channel before making landfall in Mozambique.
I hope the international community pulls it's finger out and gets as many
people out of the trees and off the house roofs as they can before Gloria
hits!
Meanwhile, the remains of Leon-Eline are still over SW Africa creating even
more flooding heading towards Mozambique.
Regards,
Carl.
>For the sake of the poor people of Mozambique, let's hope not....
>
>Mark Dwyer wrote:
>>
>> Well we have yet another Cat 5 Cyclone of the Wa coast hmm only the 6 th
>> one in the last 15 months . And at last report there was at least 5
>> Tropical Cyclones going at present between the WA Coast and the East
>> Coast of Africa. Were former TC Leon made it all the way from Wa to the
>> African East coast.
>> Any thoughts on if " TC Norman " will do the same if it continues on
>> it's westerly track ??.
>> And also good to see that the ppl at OSEI and the NOAA have got the
>> color Sat Pic's up for us again for TC Norman.
>>
>> http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/IndOcean/TRCnorman061_N4.jpg
>> or you can got to the main menu at
>> http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/Atlantic/
>>
>> MJ.
>>
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>> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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028
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 18:10:13 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC STEVE JTWC
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
Latest from JTWC on TC Steve.
Regards,
Carl.
>074
>WTXS35 PGTW 030900
>1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (STEVE) WARNING NR 011
> 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
> ---
> WARNING POSITION:
> 030600Z9 --- NEAR 15.6S2 128.3E4
> MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
> POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
> POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
> SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
> PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
> REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 128.3E4
> ---
> FORECASTS:
> 12 HRS, VALID AT:
> 031800Z2 --- 16.6S3 126.3E2
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
> VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS
> ---
> 24 HRS, VALID AT:
> 040600Z0 --- 17.4S2 124.3E0
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
> VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
> ---
> 36 HRS, VALID AT:
> 041800Z3 --- 18.0S9 122.5E0
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
> VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
> ---
> EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
> 48 HRS, VALID AT:
> 050600Z1 --- 18.3S2 120.6E9
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
> VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
> ---
> 72 HRS, VALID AT:
> 060600Z2 --- 18.4S3 116.6E4
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
> RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 055 NM ELSEWHERE
> ---
>REMARKS:
>030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.9S5 127.8E8.
>TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14P (STEVE), LOCATED ABOUT 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF
>DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED OVER LAND TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST
>AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED
>ON 030530Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
>INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE CURRENT
>INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. TC 14P (STEVE) IS EXPECTED
>TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE
>OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH DURING THE INITIAL 36 HOURS.
>AFTER THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD, TC 14P (STEVE) IS FORECAST TO
>TRACK MORE WESTWARD AS THE RIDGE BUILDS SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD. WHILE
>THE SYSTEM MOVES NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA, ABUNDANT
>MOISTURE INFLOW IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW TC 14P (STEVE) TO REMAIN INTACT
>AND EVEN SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY BEFORE MOVING OVER WATER NEAR THE 36
>HOUR FORECAST TIME. ONCE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER OPEN WATER, IT IS
>EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO RE-INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT
>TRACKS FURTHER OFFSHORE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9
>IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG
>031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).
>REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (GLORIA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR
>SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NORMAN) WARNINGS
>(WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE
>17S WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
>
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>To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV at PO.UIUC.EDU with
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>http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on
>tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
>http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
029
From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Strange BoM forecast for Sydney-Weekend prospects
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 19:54:18 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
It looks better than last weekend, but nothing too exciting either.
Saturday the LI's are around 0, but fall quickly to Sydney's SW ( west of
Goulburn )
The most unusual feature is the jet in NE NSW / SE QLD, it does such a tight
loop that you can have in just a couple of hundred kilometres jets in the
complete opposite direction, and strong ones too. I would not mind being in
Brisbane as something may happen there.
Sunday things improve for Sydney with LI's going negative, but a lack of
upper winds should see pulse storms on the ranges mainly.
Regards
Michael
----- Original Message -----
From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Sent: Friday, 3 March 2000 17:06
Subject: aus-wx: Strange BoM forecast for Sydney
> I cant recall ever seeing a forecast like the one for sunday (For
Sydney)..
> sounds too good to be true, reminds me of the forecasts they issue in the
> states "slight/moderate/high risk days", but i will beleive it when i see
> it, so far it looks like most of the action could be in central NSW, and
SE
> NSW, But different models are showing different things...
>
> Matt Smith
>
> Headline : Fine. Milder tomorrow.
>
> Sunday : Moderate thunderstorm risk. NE winds.
> City: Min: 20 Max: 26
>
> Monday : Showers developing. S/SE winds
> City: Min: 17 Max: 25
>
> Tuesday : Few showers. S/SE winds
> City: Min: 17 Max: 25
>
> Trend for Wednesday Thursday and Friday :
> Fine, NE winds. Few showers Friday with southerly change
>
>
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> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
030
X-Sender: jacob at mail.iinet.net.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 17:25:54 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: #Weather Footy Tipping Comp
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
After you have registered your name, either click on the tipping tab and
then click on "Join a Tipping Comp" or go to http://www.oztips.com/ and
click on "Join a Tipping Comp" from there. Then it will ask you what comp
you what to join.
Jacob
At 03:36 3/03/00 +0800, you wrote:
>Ummm silly question but i dont see where u type in the comp number or
>password there?
>
> Ira Fehlberg
>
>At 10:57 3/03/00 +1030, you wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>>One slight thing I forgot when I wrote this email in the early hours of
>>this morning was the #Weather Footy tips competition Number and Password,
>>
>>After you have registered your name, click the tipping tab up the top and
>>it will ask for a Comp Number and Comp Password. Our Comp number is -
>>3664 and the Password is - supercell
>>
>>sorry about missing that out last night
>>
>>Regards
>>Kathryn Jolly and Jacob Aufdemkampe
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>At 11:47 PM 2/03/00 +1030, you wrote:
>>>Hi Everyone
>>>
>>>Jacob Aufdemkampe and I (Kathryn Jolly) have created a #Weather Footy
>>>Tipping Comp.
>>>
>>>For anyone that may be interested in joining there is a link to the rules
>>>on Jacobs #Weather homepage in the Special events
>>>section http://members.iinet.net.au/~jacob/austnet/events.html but you
>>>must register first. The link takes you to a page that will have a link
>>>going to the registration page. Registration only requires your name, a
>>>user name, your email address, and a password.
>>>
>>>Or you can email me personally at astrolady99 at netscape.net with your
>>>email address so I can automatically send you a set of rules.
>>>
>>>This competition is a friendly competition only. No prizes will be given
>>>
>>>If there is any other questions or queries email me and I will answer them
>>>for you.
>>>
>>>
>>>Kind Regards and Happy Tipping
>>>
>>>Kathryn Jolly & Jacob Aufdemkampe
>>>astrolady99 at netscape.net
>>>jacob at iinet.net.au
>>>
>>>
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>>>message.
>>>-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>>
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>> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>>
>>
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
031
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 19:03:57 +0800
From: Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Fitzroy River Flood, Possibel New Record.
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Well it looks like anopther record could fall over the weekend with the
Fitzroy River in full flood. But will largely depend on how much more
rainfall, falls in the catchment area. The Previous best was 11.4 meters
in the Big wet of 96 see the BoM warning below.
IDW40W17
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE
FLOOD WARNING CENTRE
RENEWAL OF FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FITZROY RIVER CATCHMENT
Issued at 4:25pm WST on Friday the 3rd of March 2000
Based on information supplied by Water and Rivers Commission, the
Fitzroy River
at Fitzroy Crossing is expected to rise to about 11.2 metres on
Saturday. This
height compares with the previous peak level of 11.4 metres in March
1996.
Local flooding in low lying areas of the town is expected.
Upstream at Dimond Gorge the Fitzroy Rivers was 4.8 metres at 2.10pm and
falling. However, Water and Rivers Commission expect further
significant rises
at Dimond Gorge with a peak level of about 7 metres during the next 24
hours.
At 2.30 pm today the river level at Margaret Gorge was 6.4 metres and
falling.
Weather Outlook
Further rainfall with scattered heavy falls are forecast for Kimberley
region
overnight with totals of 50mm to 100mm.
Motorists are urged to use extreme caution when crossing flooded roads
and
causeways.
For up to date reports on the conditions of roads from Main Roads WA,
ring 1800
013 314.
This warning will be updated at 11am Saturday 4th March.
Weather and Flood Information can be found on the Internet at
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
032
X-Sender: jdeguara at pop.ihug.com.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.2.2
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 22:03:43 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Strange BoM forecast for Sydney-Weekend prospects
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Michael and all,
I am quite interested in the positioning of the cloud mass off Queensland
and a small dense blob.
I checked the AVN model and there is an upper level low in the area.
I suppose that will be the first signs of major rains spreading S along the
coast towards SE Qld/ NSW I will be watching it closely. Of course, it
should also interact with the instability to the SW and W of Sydney later on.
Jimmy Deguara
At 19:54 3/03/00 +1100, you wrote:
>It looks better than last weekend, but nothing too exciting either.
>
>Saturday the LI's are around 0, but fall quickly to Sydney's SW ( west of
>Goulburn )
>
>The most unusual feature is the jet in NE NSW / SE QLD, it does such a tight
>loop that you can have in just a couple of hundred kilometres jets in the
>complete opposite direction, and strong ones too. I would not mind being in
>Brisbane as something may happen there.
>
>Sunday things improve for Sydney with LI's going negative, but a lack of
>upper winds should see pulse storms on the ranges mainly.
>
>Regards
>Michael
>
>
>
>----- Original Message -----
>From: Matt Smith
>To:
>Sent: Friday, 3 March 2000 17:06
>Subject: aus-wx: Strange BoM forecast for Sydney
>
>
> > I cant recall ever seeing a forecast like the one for sunday (For
>Sydney)..
> > sounds too good to be true, reminds me of the forecasts they issue in the
> > states "slight/moderate/high risk days", but i will beleive it when i see
> > it, so far it looks like most of the action could be in central NSW, and
>SE
> > NSW, But different models are showing different things...
> >
> > Matt Smith
> >
> > Headline : Fine. Milder tomorrow.
> >
> > Sunday : Moderate thunderstorm risk. NE winds.
> > City: Min: 20 Max: 26
> >
> > Monday : Showers developing. S/SE winds
> > City: Min: 17 Max: 25
> >
> > Tuesday : Few showers. S/SE winds
> > City: Min: 17 Max: 25
> >
> > Trend for Wednesday Thursday and Friday :
> > Fine, NE winds. Few showers Friday with southerly change
> >
> >
> > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
> > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
> > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
> > message.
> > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
> >
>
>
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
033
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 19:31:05 +0800
From: Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Ex TC Steve Update #11
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
IDW50W05
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE
Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 11
Issued at 6:55 pm WST on Friday, 3 March 2000
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH is now current for the coastal areas between
KURI BAY
and LA GRANGE/BIDYADANGA.
At 6:00 pm WST a tropical low [ex-Steve] was estimated to be 20
kilometres east
northeast of Wyndham and 540 kilometres east northeast of Derby and
moving west
southwest at 15 kilometres per hour. The low is expected to continue to
move
west southwest across the north Kimberley tonight and tomorrow.
Gales are not expected in coastal areas within the next 24 hours.
However gales
could develop between Kuri Bay and La Grange/Bidyadanga on Sunday as the
low
moves off the west Kimberley coast and intensifies.
Strong winds with squalls to 90 kilometres per hour are expected along
the north
Kimberley coast.
Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding of the low-lying
areas in
the north Kimberley region tonight and tomorrow.
Details of the tropical low [ex-Steve] at 6:00 pm WST.
Location of centre : within 30 kilometres of
Latitude 15.4 South Longtitude 128.3 East.
Recent movement : west southwest at 15 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 995 hPa.
Wind gusts along the coast: 90 kilometres per hour.
The next warning will be issued at 1:00 am tomorrow morning.
This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210.
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
034
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 22:13:46 +1000
From: Desley Absolon [mystyle at bigpond.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.04 [en] (Win95; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: News from 'Cyclone City'!!
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi Everyone,
Would have loved to be in contact sooner...but no power and big mess...meant
much work first!!!!
Yep Steve visited us in a big way.. I live in Brinsmead, 10 minutes from the
Cairns Esplanade and almost directly in behind Yorkeys Knob, and Machans Beach
on the coast and in an almost direct line with Mareeba on the Atherton
Tablelands. A local's version of events is as follows:
Last Saturday, as you all know we were advised that a Cyclone Watch had been
declared for the area Port Douglas to Cardwell as there was a low of 1000 hp
sitting east of Port Douglas. Local reports suggested that this wasn't
expected to deepen but was expected to move towards the coast with a little
wind and plenty of rain.......
First official notification via media was at 9.00am Sunday when Cyclone Steve
officially came into being. "expected to continue to move in a westerly
direction towards the coast and to intensify".
By lunch time 1pm on 27/2 Steve had a central pressure of 983 hp, winds to
130km and was moving West at 15km. So Cat I and deepening. We were advised
that Gale Force winds were expected on the coast around 4pm. Cairns weather
at this stage was .... boring!!! Overcast, no wind to speak of and very
little rain. In fact in my general phone around of friends, etc - no one much
was even aware of the possibility of it crossing the coast. General consesus
was that it would change course and head south..and anyway it was Sunday..and
why bother about 'a blow' until tomorrow anyway?? After all we had Justin and
Rona and they didn't interupt the Cyclone Parties of the day so why worry??
Advices were coming hourly by this stage. Cairns Port Authority were on
yellow alert - all small craft to be moved to safe moorings in the mangroves
way up in the Inlet. Council Counter Disaster Centre was being set up, live
talkback radio had well and truly commenced emergency coverage...and the
locals...WERE STILL JUST WAKING UP THAT THIS COULD BE REAL!!! We, being very
organised little veteran north queenslanders had our water bottles full, the
bath full, gas bottles ready, emergency room organised, food, and other bits
and pieces all stacked and ready to go. (In Cyclone Joy and Justin, the water
was the first thing to go - some hours before the destructive bit, as debris
stuck in the pumping bits in the rivers stuffed up everything - long before
most people were ready).
At 2pm Steve was 90km ENE of Cairns moving West at 15km and had deepened to 980
and was now classified as Cat II with winds to 140km at the centre. Still
Cairns weather was very non-cyclone!! My husband decided that now was a good
time to put the front walls on our almost completed backyard shed....in his
raincoat...using a buzz saw....we have a building company...what can I say
??? Port Authority on Red Alert - all small craft should be at safe
moorings. Large Craft sent to sea! I collected my mum from her unit, after
grabbing everything that I could from her patio and open garage and putting it
inside.
4pm: Steve was 70km ENE of Cairns moving West at 15km still with a central
pressure of 980. Winds still at 140 but expected to intensify. Even at this
stage the BoM would not commit to a time or exact place of crossing the
coast..just somewhere between Port Douglas and Cairns. 5pm: Still no
wind..and very little rain...In my experience in Nth Qld, if there is no wind
and no rain..the cyclone has changed course and moved in another
direction...this is what 'us experts' figured........felt really stupid
grabbing pets and locking them away inside, removing plants, garden furniture,
wheelie bins, etc,etc...when the day seemed perfectly normal for Cairns for
this time of the year. My barometer hadn't even done anything terribly
dramatic. Figured we would wait until the 6pm report for the 'all
clear'..............
6pm: Steve was 55km ENE Cairns moving West at 18km with a central pressure of
975 - winds to 160km/h - this was getting serious!! ...and (what can I say)
downright exciting!!! It was expected to cross the coast sometime between 7
and 8pm somewhere near the northern beaches of Cairns and was still
intensifying.......and we still had no wind and just a little rain.....there
was the odd gust that you would have ignored at any other time but took a
little more notice of under the circumstances..but this was really nerve
racking as the damm thing was sitting on our front door and we had no idea
what it was up to....except that it was possible that Steve would keep
intensifying and there was talk of Cat III !!!!!
Then Steve arrived....nahhhhhh Steve barged in with no warning.............By
6.15 the wind was up around the 40-50 km/hr...we went outside just to see what
it felt like as we live in a 200mm masonry block home and these cut the noise
heaps..yep..the trees weren't liking it real much but it was okay... Around
6.30pm the power went out....battery powered radio kept us in touch with talk
back radio and live crosses to the weather bureau, etc. At 6.35 - the Radio
went off the air....very lonely...by 6.45pm we were experiencing wind like I
have never seen in my life.....In all the other cyclones that I have
experienced the wind grew steadily stronger with heavier gusts, till you got
to the eye, and then obviously things were calm, till the wind came back from
the other direction.....not with Steve....someone who rang in to talkback - on
another station later on in the evening likened the winds to a dentist
removing a tooth.......just twisting and raging from all directions at once
with tremendous force. By 7pm we had decided it was time to seek shelter in
our safe room away from the huge pieces of glass in our windows and
doors....just as we were about to move....the wind calmed down.....we went
through the eye for about 30 minutes..hard to know..as you don't think about
your watch too much!! - but the wind didn't die down completely like it did
with the eye of Justin..in that instance - the sun came out...blue
sky,etc...and then back it came - obviously that was a bit easier in day light
too...with Steve it was just a decline of the horrible strong stuff...then we
got the rear end of the cyclone...not as much strong stuff in our area but
some parts of Cairns - Caravonica, Redlynch, Yorkeys Knob..experienced as much
after the eye as before. We had torrential rain with the tail ...but not as
much as predicted for us..we recorded 245mm at our place..but not really
acurate as the gauge sort of kinder had it's post knocked about...up until
7.00am Monday morning. After that things just sort of calmed down and we
finally went to sleep at around 11pm. Green Island recorded wind gusts to 170
km/h and the bureau has now admitted that Cyclone Steve crossed as an
unofficial Cat III based on that reading...so even though they suggested just
prior to the crossing that it had lessened in strength to around 150km...Steve
intensified once more. Officially Steve crossed the coast at Machans Beach
and headed on up to Mareeba and across the Cape to the Gulf..and we all know
what he is up to right now....
No power until late Monday afternoon...some areas were without power until
today (Friday). Not a real lot of structural damage - the pub at Trinity
Beach on the hill lost it's roof, the Yacht Club on the Inlet lost it's roof
too....generally a lot of damage to houses through trees falling on
them...Hu-mungus amounts of damage to vegetation. Mareeba copped huge amounts
of rain with major damage done to their rail lines, when the rail bridge was
washed away and the line washed 50metres down stream to wrap around the road
bridge - it is now closed until engineers can check it out!!!
We lost 8 large trees in our back yard and have spent the last two days
cutting everything up and carting it out to the front where the council will
do yet another Cyclone Clean Up - third year running.
We went up the Kuranda Range to Mareeba today - we have a house under
construction up there - no damage to our block walls - couldn't believe it!!!
Anyway - the damage to the rain forest..is just unbelievable - if I can get
back up there I will take photos and hopefully post some of them for you....if
I can work out how to do that...not being particularly computer litererate!!
The Kuranda Range road is open to only vehicles under 5 tonne and this is
being heavily policed as one lane of the road has completely gone at one
point...it has just disappeared over the side.....I have never seen such
damage on such a wide scale..guess the rain forest will recover but you can
really see where Steve moved inland.
Lots of really large trees have been uprooted around town - if any of you have
been to Cairns - the really giant fig tree on the esplanade opposite McDonalds
- she's gone Luig'......the whole root system is out of the ground ..tourists
were having their photos taken - little Japanese ladies were shorter than the
root bowl!!!
We have recorded the wettest February on record for Cairns and people are
saying that is the reason for the damage - this however does not account for
the amount of trees that have been sheared off 5 - 10 metres above the
ground!!! Official rainfall figures for Manunda - a suburb close to us -
1462.7mm for February....Bartlefrere: 3376mm for the month - 10 foot of
rain!!!!!!!!!! Where's the ark!!!!!!
Hope you found this interesting...we certainly did!!!
Desley...with webbed feet...and slightly ruffled feathers
in Cairns
Lindsay wrote:
> G'day all,
>
> Well, even though my new car needs a little attending to, we are still
> going to Oberon today. My partner wants to get an idea of where I am in
> winter when I ring and say, "Hi honey, I'm at Trickett just now and..."
> or "It's p...ing down at Shooters" during the snow season.
>
> And check this out, we are even visiting a really nice couple who have a
> farmstay cabin out there where it is likely we will be staying in July
> for our mid-year holidays. If I get time, I will check to see if the
> little library has a net connection at Oberon so I can post during our
> hols.
>
> Cheers,
>
> Lindsay Pearce
> PS: Thinking of all the folk up in North Qld just now. Desley, how are
> you?
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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035
X-Sender: jdeguara at pop.ihug.com.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.2.2
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 23:28:07 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Strange BoM.. Look at cloud whirl
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
I would suggest, (whilst it is working) looking at the satellite picture
animations quite interesting off Qld.
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/gms5ir.html
6 animations is sufficient but you can do up to 20 Check the times though
as this site was infamous for missing images although working quite
excellent at the moment.
Jimmy Deguara
At 22:03 3/03/00 +1100, you wrote:
>Michael and all,
>
>I am quite interested in the positioning of the cloud mass off Queensland
>and a small dense blob.
>
>I checked the AVN model and there is an upper level low in the area.
>
>I suppose that will be the first signs of major rains spreading S along
>the coast towards SE Qld/ NSW I will be watching it closely. Of course,
>it should also interact with the instability to the SW and W of Sydney
>later on.
>
>Jimmy Deguara
>
>At 19:54 3/03/00 +1100, you wrote:
>>It looks better than last weekend, but nothing too exciting either.
>>
>>Saturday the LI's are around 0, but fall quickly to Sydney's SW ( west of
>>Goulburn )
>>
>>The most unusual feature is the jet in NE NSW / SE QLD, it does such a tight
>>loop that you can have in just a couple of hundred kilometres jets in the
>>complete opposite direction, and strong ones too. I would not mind being in
>>Brisbane as something may happen there.
>>
>>Sunday things improve for Sydney with LI's going negative, but a lack of
>>upper winds should see pulse storms on the ranges mainly.
>>
>>Regards
>>Michael
>>
>>
>>
>>----- Original Message -----
>>From: Matt Smith
>>To:
>>Sent: Friday, 3 March 2000 17:06
>>Subject: aus-wx: Strange BoM forecast for Sydney
>>
>>
>> > I cant recall ever seeing a forecast like the one for sunday (For
>>Sydney)..
>> > sounds too good to be true, reminds me of the forecasts they issue in the
>> > states "slight/moderate/high risk days", but i will beleive it when i see
>> > it, so far it looks like most of the action could be in central NSW, and
>>SE
>> > NSW, But different models are showing different things...
>> >
>> > Matt Smith
>> >
>> > Headline : Fine. Milder tomorrow.
>> >
>> > Sunday : Moderate thunderstorm risk. NE winds.
>> > City: Min: 20 Max: 26
>> >
>> > Monday : Showers developing. S/SE winds
>> > City: Min: 17 Max: 25
>> >
>> > Tuesday : Few showers. S/SE winds
>> > City: Min: 17 Max: 25
>> >
>> > Trend for Wednesday Thursday and Friday :
>> > Fine, NE winds. Few showers Friday with southerly change
>> >
>> >
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>> > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
>> > message.
>> > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>> >
>>
>>
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>> message.
>> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
>
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036
From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: GREEN LIGHTS IN THE SKY
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 20:00:18 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
I have also seen green objects, it was one night when I got up to have a
drink and looked out the window, at first it looked like an oversized
shooting star, but slower, then it flared brighter and broke into several
pieces. It was brighter than any star, and was about the size of a quarter
moon. There was no noise heard.
It did not look right for a boat flare ( I live near the coast at
Shellharbour ) or sky rocket, too high and far away.
Michael
> I would be interested to know how long these objects were visible for.
> If these persisted for 30 secs or greater, then most likely it was space
> debris. Anything shorter than this, then it may have been a meteor.
>
> If it was a meteor, then it would, as Andrew pointed out, be a random
> or sporadic meteor due to dust particles colliding flush on with the Earth
> (ie not really captured into orbit).
>
> --
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037
From: "Patrick Tobin" [patricktobin at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: News from 'Cyclone City'!!
Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2000 23:53:47 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.5
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Thanks Desley,
A great and gripping account of Steve's passage over Cairns. I recall
watching the radar last Sunday night as it passed over and wondering what it
was really like on the ground.
The media also very rapidly lose interest once the initial sensational bit
is over - so it is interesting to hear about the damage to vegetation and
massive amounts of rainfall.
I hope the clean-up goes well.
Patrick
-----Original Message-----
From: Desley Absolon [mystyle at bigpond.com.au]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Date: Friday, 3 March 2000 23:08
Subject: aus-wx: News from 'Cyclone City'!!
>Hi Everyone,
>Would have loved to be in contact sooner...but no power and big
mess...meant
>much work first!!!!
>Yep Steve visited us in a big way.. I live in Brinsmead, 10 minutes from
the
>Cairns Esplanade and almost directly in behind Yorkeys Knob, and Machans
Beach
>on the coast and in an almost direct line with Mareeba on the Atherton
>Tablelands. A local's version of events is as follows:
>
>Last Saturday, as you all know we were advised that a Cyclone Watch had
been
>declared for the area Port Douglas to Cardwell as there was a low of 1000
hp
>sitting east of Port Douglas. Local reports suggested that this wasn't
>expected to deepen but was expected to move towards the coast with a little
>wind and plenty of rain.......
>
>First official notification via media was at 9.00am Sunday when Cyclone
Steve
>officially came into being. "expected to continue to move in a westerly
>direction towards the coast and to intensify".
>
>By lunch time 1pm on 27/2 Steve had a central pressure of 983 hp, winds to
>130km and was moving West at 15km. So Cat I and deepening. We were advised
>that Gale Force winds were expected on the coast around 4pm. Cairns
weather
>at this stage was .... boring!!! Overcast, no wind to speak of and very
>little rain. In fact in my general phone around of friends, etc - no one
much
>was even aware of the possibility of it crossing the coast. General
consesus
>was that it would change course and head south..and anyway it was
Sunday..and
>why bother about 'a blow' until tomorrow anyway?? After all we had Justin
and
>Rona and they didn't interupt the Cyclone Parties of the day so why worry??
>Advices were coming hourly by this stage. Cairns Port Authority were on
>yellow alert - all small craft to be moved to safe moorings in the
mangroves
>way up in the Inlet. Council Counter Disaster Centre was being set up,
live
>talkback radio had well and truly commenced emergency coverage...and the
>locals...WERE STILL JUST WAKING UP THAT THIS COULD BE REAL!!! We, being
very
>organised little veteran north queenslanders had our water bottles full,
the
>bath full, gas bottles ready, emergency room organised, food, and other
bits
>and pieces all stacked and ready to go. (In Cyclone Joy and Justin, the
water
>was the first thing to go - some hours before the destructive bit, as
debris
>stuck in the pumping bits in the rivers stuffed up everything - long before
>most people were ready).
>
>At 2pm Steve was 90km ENE of Cairns moving West at 15km and had deepened to
980
>and was now classified as Cat II with winds to 140km at the centre. Still
>Cairns weather was very non-cyclone!! My husband decided that now was a
good
>time to put the front walls on our almost completed backyard shed....in his
>raincoat...using a buzz saw....we have a building company...what can I say
>??? Port Authority on Red Alert - all small craft should be at safe
>moorings. Large Craft sent to sea! I collected my mum from her unit,
after
>grabbing everything that I could from her patio and open garage and putting
it
>inside.
>
>4pm: Steve was 70km ENE of Cairns moving West at 15km still with a central
>pressure of 980. Winds still at 140 but expected to intensify. Even at
this
>stage the BoM would not commit to a time or exact place of crossing the
>coast..just somewhere between Port Douglas and Cairns. 5pm: Still no
>wind..and very little rain...In my experience in Nth Qld, if there is no
wind
>and no rain..the cyclone has changed course and moved in another
>direction...this is what 'us experts' figured........felt really stupid
>grabbing pets and locking them away inside, removing plants, garden
furniture,
>wheelie bins, etc,etc...when the day seemed perfectly normal for Cairns for
>this time of the year. My barometer hadn't even done anything terribly
>dramatic. Figured we would wait until the 6pm report for the 'all
>clear'..............
>
>6pm: Steve was 55km ENE Cairns moving West at 18km with a central pressure
of
>975 - winds to 160km/h - this was getting serious!! ...and (what can I say)
>downright exciting!!! It was expected to cross the coast sometime between
7
>and 8pm somewhere near the northern beaches of Cairns and was still
>intensifying.......and we still had no wind and just a little
rain.....there
>was the odd gust that you would have ignored at any other time but took a
>little more notice of under the circumstances..but this was really nerve
>racking as the damm thing was sitting on our front door and we had no idea
>what it was up to....except that it was possible that Steve would keep
>intensifying and there was talk of Cat III !!!!!
>
>Then Steve arrived....nahhhhhh Steve barged in with no
warning.............By
>6.15 the wind was up around the 40-50 km/hr...we went outside just to see
what
>it felt like as we live in a 200mm masonry block home and these cut the
noise
>heaps..yep..the trees weren't liking it real much but it was okay...
Around
>6.30pm the power went out....battery powered radio kept us in touch with
talk
>back radio and live crosses to the weather bureau, etc. At 6.35 - the
Radio
>went off the air....very lonely...by 6.45pm we were experiencing wind like
I
>have never seen in my life.....In all the other cyclones that I have
>experienced the wind grew steadily stronger with heavier gusts, till you
got
>to the eye, and then obviously things were calm, till the wind came back
from
>the other direction.....not with Steve....someone who rang in to talkback -
on
>another station later on in the evening likened the winds to a dentist
>removing a tooth.......just twisting and raging from all directions at once
>with tremendous force. By 7pm we had decided it was time to seek shelter
in
>our safe room away from the huge pieces of glass in our windows and
>doors....just as we were about to move....the wind calmed down.....we went
>through the eye for about 30 minutes..hard to know..as you don't think
about
>your watch too much!! - but the wind didn't die down completely like it did
>with the eye of Justin..in that instance - the sun came out...blue
>sky,etc...and then back it came - obviously that was a bit easier in day
light
>too...with Steve it was just a decline of the horrible strong stuff...then
we
>got the rear end of the cyclone...not as much strong stuff in our area but
>some parts of Cairns - Caravonica, Redlynch, Yorkeys Knob..experienced as
much
>after the eye as before. We had torrential rain with the tail ...but not
as
>much as predicted for us..we recorded 245mm at our place..but not really
>acurate as the gauge sort of kinder had it's post knocked about...up until
>7.00am Monday morning. After that things just sort of calmed down and we
>finally went to sleep at around 11pm. Green Island recorded wind gusts to
170
>km/h and the bureau has now admitted that Cyclone Steve crossed as an
>unofficial Cat III based on that reading...so even though they suggested
just
>prior to the crossing that it had lessened in strength to around
150km...Steve
>intensified once more. Officially Steve crossed the coast at Machans Beach
>and headed on up to Mareeba and across the Cape to the Gulf..and we all
know
>what he is up to right now....
>
>No power until late Monday afternoon...some areas were without power until
>today (Friday). Not a real lot of structural damage - the pub at Trinity
>Beach on the hill lost it's roof, the Yacht Club on the Inlet lost it's
roof
>too....generally a lot of damage to houses through trees falling on
>them...Hu-mungus amounts of damage to vegetation. Mareeba copped huge
amounts
>of rain with major damage done to their rail lines, when the rail bridge
was
>washed away and the line washed 50metres down stream to wrap around the
road
>bridge - it is now closed until engineers can check it out!!!
>
>We lost 8 large trees in our back yard and have spent the last two days
>cutting everything up and carting it out to the front where the council
will
>do yet another Cyclone Clean Up - third year running.
>
>We went up the Kuranda Range to Mareeba today - we have a house under
>construction up there - no damage to our block walls - couldn't believe
it!!!
>Anyway - the damage to the rain forest..is just unbelievable - if I can get
>back up there I will take photos and hopefully post some of them for
you....if
>I can work out how to do that...not being particularly computer
litererate!!
>
>The Kuranda Range road is open to only vehicles under 5 tonne and this is
>being heavily policed as one lane of the road has completely gone at one
>point...it has just disappeared over the side.....I have never seen such
>damage on such a wide scale..guess the rain forest will recover but you can
>really see where Steve moved inland.
>
>Lots of really large trees have been uprooted around town - if any of you
have
>been to Cairns - the really giant fig tree on the esplanade opposite
McDonalds
>- she's gone Luig'......the whole root system is out of the ground
..tourists
>were having their photos taken - little Japanese ladies were shorter than
the
>root bowl!!!
>
>We have recorded the wettest February on record for Cairns and people are
>saying that is the reason for the damage - this however does not account
for
>the amount of trees that have been sheared off 5 - 10 metres above the
>ground!!! Official rainfall figures for Manunda - a suburb close to us -
>1462.7mm for February....Bartlefrere: 3376mm for the month - 10 foot of
>rain!!!!!!!!!! Where's the ark!!!!!!
>
>Hope you found this interesting...we certainly did!!!
>Desley...with webbed feet...and slightly ruffled feathers
>in Cairns
>
>
>
>Lindsay wrote:
>
>> G'day all,
>>
>> Well, even though my new car needs a little attending to, we are still
>> going to Oberon today. My partner wants to get an idea of where I am in
>> winter when I ring and say, "Hi honey, I'm at Trickett just now and..."
>> or "It's p...ing down at Shooters" during the snow season.
>>
>> And check this out, we are even visiting a really nice couple who have a
>> farmstay cabin out there where it is likely we will be staying in July
>> for our mid-year holidays. If I get time, I will check to see if the
>> little library has a net connection at Oberon so I can post during our
>> hols.
>>
>> Cheers,
>>
>> Lindsay Pearce
>> PS: Thinking of all the folk up in North Qld just now. Desley, how are
>> you?
>>
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>
>
>
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| Document: 000303.htm
Updated: 05 March 2000 |
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